CERES, Probabilistic Famine Early Warning: 90-day IPC Phase 3+ forecasts for 43 high-risk countries, updated weekly.

90-Day Famine Risk: Active Monitoring

IPC Phase 3+ probability · Logistic model + sensitivity intervals
Data: CHIRPS · MODIS NDVI · UCDP GED · IPC · WFP VAM · FAO GIEWS
Loading… · HGE v1.0

Critical (≥70% · IPC Phase 4–5 likely)

Warning (45–69% · IPC Phase 3 likely)

Watch (<45% · Elevated stress signals)